Wednesday June 03, 2009 A technical recession is two quarters of negative growth. In Australia the December quarter saw a contraction in economic activity as measured by GDP of -0.5% and the March quarter numbers come out here today at 11:30A local time which in just over an hours times.
There is a lot of debate as to exactly where the Australian economy is. Last week was saw that in Australia Private Capital Expenditure plunged by 9% - the most in 21 years however yesterday we saw a rebound in export numbers on the back of strong demand for mineral exports to China and agrictural exports to Asia and strong retail trade figures on the back of a massive government stimulus and cuts in interest rates by the Reserve Bank.
My tip.. a contraction of 0.1% and yes Australia will fall into recession. However if say a technical recession is avoided by the barest of margins, the big increases in unemployment recently is proof enough that we are in what feels like a recession.

Australia's GDP rate % change. note the fall of in 2008.