Thursday October 12, 2006
On The Margins(Masood Mortazavi)
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[ Society ]
The Lancet Report on Mortality and War
When research has claims intensely relevant to our world, it deserves a studied reception. We estimate that as of July, 2006, there have been 654 965
(392 979–942 636) excess Iraqi deaths as a consequence of the war,
which corresponds to 2·5% of the population in the study area. Of
post-invasion deaths, 601 027 (426 369–793 663) were due to violence,
the most common cause being gunfire.
The Lancet report can be accessed through a free registration, which is
well worth it because it puts a great deal of other useful medical
research at one's finger tips. Unfortunately, as I noted above, I would not have noticed the report if I had not turned to The Guardian yesterday. Here's Guardian's summary of other important conclusions in the research report: The epidemiological research was carried out on the ground by teams of doctors moving from house to house, questioning families and examining death certificates. Between May and July this year, they visited 1,849 households in 47 separated clusters across the length and breadth of Iraq. The doctors asked about deaths among members of the household in a period before the invasion, from January 2002 to March 2003, and about deaths since. In 92% of cases, they were shown death certificates confirming the cause.
A total of 629 deaths were reported, of which 547 - or 87% - occurred after the invasion. The mortality rate before the war was 5.5 per 1,000, but since the invasion, it has risen to 13.3 per 1,000 per year, they say. Between June 2005 and June 2006, the mortality rate hit a high of 19.8 per 1,000.
According to Financial Times, President Bush has called the methodology of the study "pretty well discredited."
Commentary on the research by Lancet editor, Richard Horton, can be found here. A critique of the report by Iraq Body Count can be found here. Regardless of whether this study is definitive, it comes at a time
when framers of public opinion continue to bellow (one
might say cruel and inhuman) utilitarian calculations arguing about the
exact number of excess civilian deaths and whether they were worth it
or not as if the worth of lives can easily be measured against each
other. (A dose of Confucian philosophy may be in order.) Utilitarian
arguments which trade off engineering of so-called "social goods"
against innocent people's lives tend to blunt and blind the observers'
moral
compass to the human toll and disaster being left behind by the
invasion and
the continuing occupation. Whether the one source or another give the
correct number of deaths, the cold shoulder all mortality accounts have
received
within the media can hardly be missed if you consider the scale and the
significance of their findings.
2006-10-12 23:56:59.0 --
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[ Society ]
Phone Logs
Apparently, phone logs have their uses in boardroom politics.
[ Society ]
Ruled Unconstitutional, Wiretapping Continues For Now
The Wall Street Journal challenges the opinion of Taylor's court in an editorial,
criticizing her for falling into the "temptations to be hailed as Civil
Libertarian of the Year." (We live in an age where universities teach them and people are paid for such rhetorical arts!) The Washington Post has more as is expected. They also have also posted the text of the ruling (a free, relatively low-impact registration gives you access). The cover article by Dan Eggen and Dafna Linzer has a picture of Judge Taylor, who looks like no push over. The Washington Post also reports President Bush's response to the ruling. Reuters has a video report as well as a written report on the President's response. The program allows the government to bypass warrant requirements and
monitor communications, such as e-mail and telephone calls, into and
out of the United States by people believed linked to al Qaeda or
related groups.
How that determination is made is left unclear with the argument
that revealing it would be a security risk by itself, and I think that
is the real core
of the problem. (Of course, if you are a believer in artificial
intelligence, matters can be different but then you're living on the
boundaries of imaginary worlds like the one depicted in the movie Brazil.) American Civil Liberties Union was one of the plaintiffs in the case. ACLU has a page that shows some of the Americans who have been targets of spying. ACLU has streaming audio responses to the federal court ruling, including one by Christopher Hitchens who was no opposer to the "war on terror" by any measure. Others providing audio responses are Anthony Romero, executive director of ACLU, and Melissa Goodman, ACLU staff attorney. Goodman gives a very good summary of the decision by Judge Taylor's court. (It is worth noting that in another case, Hamdan vs. Rumsfeld, in which the Supreme Court strikes down military tribunals of the Guantánamo Bay detainees in June of 2006, the ACLU had filed a friend-of-the-court briefing.) Personally, I have nothing to hide but I think the power to wiretap is
one of the darkest powers on our modern earth that's granted to
governments. It is very easy for governments to abuse it and it throws
a dark suspicion onto all conversations that may be out of the mold. It
works in subtle ways to send a very strong signal against all
activities that may only be deemed as in opposition. There's an undertone, as some polls seem to indicate, that most
believe
this taking away of rights from them will only apply to those who are
not from their own communities. Somehow they feel themselves secure.
Since they believe they are not in danger and that the policy is for
their safety, they willingly give in to the
massive-scale leveling that occurs because it levels everything around
them,
they believe. However, they're already leveled into their own, and they
rarely know it. It is amazing how fear can be used to disarm people of the most
elementary aspects of their existence--i.e. the ability to feel secure
in their relationships with others, including those who are different. We have
come very far from the time of those who wrote the Fourth Amendment to
the US constitution.
2006-08-18 10:07:40.0 --
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[ Society ]
Why Bosses Are Good
[ Society ]
61 Years Ago
The city of Hiroshima invited government representatives from 140
countries, of which 35 countries sent delegates. But among seven
declared nuclear powers -- Britain, China, France, India, Pakistan,
Russia and the United States -- as well as North Korea and Iran, only
Russia and Iran sent delegates. Mainichi Daily News gives an account of the anniversary ceremonies.
[ Society ]
Birth Pangs
[ Society ]
Human Scale in Urban Life
[ Society ]
A Tragic Death by Drowning
Last night, I spent hours listening to the father of a boisterous girl of Persian heritage who died on Monday, May 1, 2006, drawning in the pool of the apartment complex where she lived. She attended my oldest daughter's elementary school for one year before moving on to a different elementary school, and then middle school. I only saw her once, about 3 years ago, as she rushed to greet my daughter. I found her vivacious—full of zest and excitement that is life. The fleeting image of her greeting us will forever linger in my mind. Her parents were very intelligent and hard working, her sisters loved her, and I know that her father will miss her dearly. "I did everything with her. She was my best friend," said one of her sisters to me. "God put her in our charge and god took her away," said the father. "I will hold on to the chain that connects me to the Most High." Despite what the news reports might imply to some viewers, the girl did not die of parental negligence but complex causes, unfathomable and beyond description, related to a father's struggles to survive with great honor but little resources to speak of and the general lack of proper community resources. (Here is an NBC11 report.) We're all wishing the family strength and continued wisdom as they go through this hardship. If you have any way to help them with money or other means, please let me know.
[ Society ]
Three Female Voices
Perhaps, I should have titled this so: With facts and faint voices, three female scholars face a philosophy of imposed fear and falsehood. On Monday, April 17, 2006, Financial Times published a letter from three female professors of Iranian origin—Prof Haleh Afshar (University of York), Dr Ziba Mir-Hosseini (London Middle East Institute) and Dr Elaheh Rostami-Povey (School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London).
The letter points to the disturbing rise in the rhetoric of war against Iran and demonstrates the illogic of that rhetoric. Of course, the lack of any real understanding of Iran among the general population in the U.S. can only make things worse. The U.S. media and political elite have done little to alleviate this problem. The biases against Iran have been kept fresh by the oft-repeated mantra. In the meantime, at the highest levels, silence and other techniques have been used to keep the level of uncertainty high with a full knowledge that a good amount of uncertainty can often impose greater cost than any amount of certainty. Personally, I do not believe any of these strategic or imperial techniques are working. They will ultimately prove to be of little effect compared to the simple notion of attempting a dialogue on an equal footing. I reproduced the three professors' letter in full elsewhere. In the meantime, with no apologies, Richard Cohen explains away the spreading of dangerous illogics by praising so-called "judicious" double standards. (Labeling a glaring double-standard in international law as a "judicious" one does not make it so.) I have written about this briefly elsewhere, too.
2006-04-17 23:13:49.0 --
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[ Society ]
Pew Research on Social Trends
Pew Research provides a wealth of research on current social trends in the U.S. Here are some examples:
Does it take a private foundation to conduct broad and timely research into current social trends in the U.S.? What questions are being asked and answered? Which, more, should be looked into? What value do the answers have? How do "public" trends affect anything in our personal lives and commitments? Kierkegaard brought the attention of the philosophers to the yoke of the "public".
[ Society ]
Breaking the Taboo at Lunchtime
Rarely do we break the common taboos but, today at lunch, a few colleagues and I broke some ground, touching a few political topics. Some of the topics are covered in this Counterpunch story by Kevin Zeese: "Attacking Iran: Hersh vs. Bush: Who Would You Believe?.
[ Society ]
Echoes Across the Atlantic
John J. Mearsheimer and Stephen M. Walt's publication, across the Atlantic, of the edited and reworked version of their John F. Kennedy School of Government working paper (March 13) in the London Review of Books (March 23), has elicited an immediate response in various opinion columns across the ocean, including some in the WSJ by Ruth Wisse (March 22) and Bret Stephens (March 25). The working paper (also to be found in pdf format through Mearsheimer's publications page) claims, among other things, that the current U.S. policy in the Middle East has been detrimental to the U.S. national interests. That policy has certainly produced vastly many more enemies than won friends. It has deepened conflicts and created new ones instead of diminishing or resolving them justly. It has badly damaged the U.S. national interests in a very real way and for many years to come. An examination and redirection of that policy seems to be long overdue. Addenda: [1] Tony Judt's column for Haaretz, published (in abridged form?) on Tuesday May 23, 2006 in Financial Times, also mentions the essay by Walt and Mearsheimer.
2006-03-26 13:45:24.0 --
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[ Society ]
The Il-Logic of the Strategist
Robin Wilton, a colleague from Europe, writes again about the glaring illogic behind Guantanamo. In the manifesto of the strategist, particularly the one who believes to be in a dominant position, one finds the need to behave as if no rules or laws apply to him. This is thoroughly explained in Thomas C. Schelling's Strategy of Conflict. (Schelling, I believe, was at one point a "National Security" consultant.) Of course, this strategic choice to project wanton behavior can turn into a very dangerous game with regrettable results. (Besides the fact that justice, ultimately, does make a difference. It is only a matter of time and patience, as we read in the History of the Peloponnesian Wars by Thucydides, not to mention other events such as Ashura, where its prince says that if one cannot keep one's way of life and one's religion, one must stive, at least, to be free of worldly bondage.) It would literally be more profitable to build relationships of respect, exchange and commerce of the type that leads to long-term, mutually beneficial circumstances than to create so-called "strategic" confrontations with those who seek to be free. This was supposed to be a lesson learned long ago in the U.S. history, and Schelling's students, some of whom are reputed to have helped select targets during the Vietnam War, changed nothing real and created no lasting relationship of control. Trust through credible commitments of the sort Oliver Williamson talks about requires a different procedure. Williamson speaks of exchange of hostages as a primordial means for building "trust". In today's world, we see this through international cross-investments and joint ventures. In fact, in my opinion, what binds Europe to the U.S. is more this than any cultural similarity.
2006-03-07 22:35:22.0 --
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[ Society ]
An Orchestra With No Conductors
An orchestra best exemplifies a "flat" organization. Often, a single conductor leads and coordinates the tempo and interpretation of a piece performed by a large group of musicians. In a recent Business 2.0 piece ("Why Employees Should Lead Themselves"), Stanford Business School professor Jeffrey Pfeffer writes about Orpheus Chamber Orchestra, which is not only "known principally for the musical accomplishments of its 28 members [and the fact that its...] Grammy Award-winning ensemble performs Mozart and Stravinsky to rave reviews around the world" but also "for a novel approach to management: Unlike most orchestras its size, Orpheus has no conductor."
(Note: In classical Persian musical ensembles, often formed by less than a dozen musicians but sometimes with up to 20 or more performers, one finds no conductors. Mutual interpretations become key to a performance.) By the way, professor Pfeffer has written some very good books on power, politics and organizations. I was first introduced to his work while a student at Haas, Berkeley.
2006-02-25 22:06:04.0 --
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[ Society ]
The Other Cartoonist
Cartoons have been used to demonize, torment, abuse and even provoke large groups of common, good folks with real beliefs and practices which harm no one — and they have also been used for political enlightenment, for challenging our biases (instead of fueling them) and for taking to task living public officials who claim responsibilities over the world and whose record of actions speak more plainly than their words. Of the instances of former variety, we have heard recently and loudly. Khalil Bendib's cartoons belong to the latter variety. Although I do not totally agree with every point Khalil makes in his cartoons, I think he has got many things dead right. Khalil did have a very interesting interview with the BBC this week. You can also view this PBS video about Khalil working in his studio. Addendum: By the way, after some provocative paragraphs recounting some unusual responses and several inches deep in an strangely titled New York Times article re-published by International Herald Tribune, we read —
Of course, the more unusual and dubious views and responses usually receive attention in the first paragraphs and titles chosen for the journalistic reports, even in major publications.
[ Society ]
Lost In Translation
It would be a far less complicated world if all errors of judgement and misunderstanding were due to (apparently) innocent slips in translation — however consequential and dangerous those slips might be, like this one. More fundamentally, there are those with great power who not only make little effort to understand the other side — it does take some amount of skill and experience to do so — but also purposefully twist, turn and trash what is said and done in order to accomplish and justify what (for those willing to observe) would seem most evil and base — and at the core of it, the idea of utilitarianism when deployed for blind purposes of the powerful, can lead to frequent deeds with consequences most vile, for which, without its crude cover, none can offer any real justification.
2006-01-16 20:36:04.0 --
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[ Society ]
It Takes an Artist
Some times, it takes a courageous artist to recall basic facts — to remind us how important truth can be where lies have found great currency. As an example, see Arash Norouzi's piece on the how media has demonized Iran. Norouzi's Mossadegh project might also be worth a look. He also points to a Mossadegh rock opera by Michael Minn, which premiered in New York in the summer of 2004. (For the audio clips of the opera, try here.) Courage should not be that hard to muster but it apparantly has become a very rare commodity only accessible to the few.
2006-01-01 07:19:06.0 --
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Paranoid?
I had always been surprised how paranoid the Europeans were about genetically modified foods. In America, we certainly didn't seem to have the problem. Was it really their paranoia or was it my ignorance caused by the fact that here the U.S., genetically modified foods were not being labeled as such? I'll be damned — according to a radio program I just heard, I was simply being ignorant! There is currently no regulation to be enforced by the FDA or any other regulatory body for such labeling! Some seem to have started a campaign to change this. See for example "The Campaign." It is amazing that throughout this time, I thought we had the regulation but that in their wisdom, the food retailers were staying away from genetically modified foods—hence the absence of any labeled ones. So next time you pick up those huge holiday grapes (just like what I did tonight at the local store), you may become as paranoid as I and ask youself whether it might need to have been labeled! Here's a quote from "The Campaign":
Wonderful! Of course, other perspectives exist but I still would like to avoid eating new, fancy proteins of which my ancestors did not habitually partake, and did so over multiple generations, provably without any harm to themselves — but perhaps that is just a luxury and we should worry about other more important luxuries such as the size of our in-house video display system. Of course, I know my science and to a certain extent it depends on how genetic modification occurs. If it occurs through insertion of DNA from species belonging to organisms other than the target organism, I would be very cautious. If the practice involves mixing of the same species that is a different matter and perhaps (under certain circumstances) less worrisome.
2005-12-18 23:48:00.0 --
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[ Society ]
Fox Series on Iran
Of note for my readers who have often asked me about English-language material on Iran might be Amy Kellogg's series of eight reports for Fox News. I just ran into the last in the series and found it to be representative, interesting and accessible for an English-speaking audience. I've not reviewed the other items in the series but the videos may be worth viewing. The last in the Fox series is about the use of chemical weapons against Iranian troops and civilians during the Iran-Iraq war. (Dana Priest, chief national security reporter for The Washington Post, has written about this. A reprint of Priest's article is available here. You may also want to see my earlier post on a more recent use of such weapons.)
[ Society ]
Chemistry 101
An annonymous friend has just sent me this Reuters' report on the use of "incendiary white phosphorus against civilians and a firebomb similar to napalm against military targets" in Iraq. It's based on a documentary by Italian state-run broadcaster RAI. (On other recent uses of chemical weapons, see also here and here.) On the Margins Tag Cloud
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DisclaimerI work at Sun Microsystems. The opinions expressed here are purely my own, and neither Sun nor any other party necessarily agrees with them.Coordinates
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