My esteemed collegue, Mark Dixon, of Discovering Identity is preparing a list of Important trends in the Digital Identity marketplace for JavaOne.

I posted some relevant information on my blog back in Jan.: Identity Predictions for 2007

In addition to the items listed below, I had some comments to add:

In the next few years, the convergence of user centric (convenient yet initially unsecure) and established federaton standards (SAML, Liberty, WS Federation) will take place to enable a cohesive identity strategy with secure web services (still a few years away). The popularity of user centric identity is growing rapidly, but not for secure environments. It is unclear how this will manifest itself but it could be through OpenId and CardSpace, etc evolving to include SAML 2 as a foundation for their next revisions.

One thing is clear, the adoption of federation is not as rapid as it could be and until it is well established, it will be very difficult to enable real Identity enabled web services on top of that foundation. This is recognized as an issue which must be addressed since projects like openliberty.org are forming to provide a simpler solution for the secure invocation of identity enabled web services. The maturation and deployability of the identity standards will take place once there are sufficient tools to enable cross vendor interoperability and seamless integration into web services infrastructures. This maturation process is starting to happen now that the federation standards are stable and adequate to provide that foundation.

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