The Perfect Storm for Cloud
Today, I was reading a post by Paul Murphy on ZDNet and realized there is a perfect storm brewing in cloud computing, especially for Sun Microsystems.
First, Paul gives some advice to "...focus a lot more effort in the small to mid range market: the people who desperately want stuff that “just works” and now think they have nowhere to go. These people are angry about IT, about something that looks so simple but costs them money and aggravation every single day of the week -and no one’s telling them that Sun has exactly what they need. " He's right. Sun's product set -- especially in software -- is largely undiscovered and hasn't reached its full potential in the marketplace, especially as it relates to brand recognition.
Second, Sun has very publicly announced its investment in cloud computing by creating a separate business unit for it, led by Chief Sustainability Officer Dave Douglas. Sun's investment in the cloud isn't a "me too" thing. We've been in this space for years. But, the open and specific investment in the future of cloud computing is not just exciting for me as a product manager, but should make potential customers and current shareholders tingle in their toes. Don't forget that cloud computing is largely a trust proposition. The most trusted brands will do well in this space, and Sun has that in loads.
Third, the economy is on a downturn. Jonathan recently blogged "Innovation Loves a Crisis". He clarified this by stating, "You're not going to hear from any of our customers, "let's stop buying technology and hire more people to do the work." They're going to default to the opposite - automating work, and finding answers and opportunities with technology, not headcount. And in that process lies an opportunity for Sun - to engage with customers in driving down cost, driving up utilization, and driving the changes that yield immediate and long term benefit." The value of cloud computing to a business is in the reduction (potentially down to zero) of it's IT infrastructure by utilizing a cloud computing infrastructure service provider and only paying for what they use. This value model is too good to pass up.
So, the equation is this:
Largely Untapped Software Brand
+ Investment in Cloud by a Trusted Brand with Amazing Intellectual Property
+ Economic Downturn
------------------------------
= PERFECT STORM for Cloud Computing
I feel like a storm chaser. Makes me kind of breathless.


Google's AppEngine, Microsoft's Azure, Rackable's Cloud, Amazon's Web Services (AWS) and Salesforce's force.com are all here today with compelling offerings (except Microsoft who are on the brink). When will Sun offer something similar? No, I don't consider network.com to be similar because it requires code written for Sun's Grid Engine, and is a batch job processor, not a persistent allocatable resource pool. Can I run a web server and MySQL database on network.com ? I don't think so.
I've been following Project Caroline for quite a while and nothing seems to have been resulted? Are you sure that having a "Chief Sustainability Office" in charge of such a technical enterprise is a good idea? Dave is up against people like Werner Vogels who I read "came to Amazon from Cornell University, where he was working on high-availability systems and the management of scalable enterprise systems. He maintains that research spirit at Amazon, which regularly must solve problems never before encountered" (from http://www.acmqueue.com/modules.php?name=Content&pa=showpage&pid=388 )
I really hope Sun can deliver a great value proposition cloud with xVM Ops Center and xVM Server sometime in the next 12 months. Even just offering MySQL database hosting services would be a good start. Any later and it will probably be too late. Anything you could say in your blog about the state of Sun's cloud service offerings would be very useful to investors.
Posted by Kevin Hutchinson on October 28, 2008 at 10:18 AM CDT #
Thanks for the comment, Kevin, and for identifying yourself. I don't publish anonymous comments, just as I don't talk on the phone to people I don't know.
As for what you said, I think you're getting IaaS cloud mixed up with AaaS cloud. To be clear, we're looking squarely at the IaaS space. And, that focus is moving us toward the next generation of network.com. If you look at the network.com Web site right now, you'll see we're not up to just grid anymore. It's a teaser, and I can't reveal anything more at this time. But, when I can, it will be in this blog!
As for Dave Douglas, he's quite qualified for the job. See his executive bio here: http://www.sun.com/smi/Press/sunflash/2006-05/sunflash.20060510.1.xml. In addition, Sun has named Lew Tucker CTO of cloud computing at Sun. They, and many other capable individuals at Sun, are set to take on this market and contribute to it in a very open way.
Posted by Ynema Mangum on October 28, 2008 at 03:51 PM CDT #