Monday Apr 06, 2009

I disagree a bit with Pine and Gillmore about the Experience Economy.  They describe it as following the agrarian, industrial, then service economy.


To me, all of the economies they outline are about service.


Services are supposed to be the exact opposite of physical goods, but the line between a material good and a service is often cloudy.  To me, it's all about the ultimate experience my dollar (or time) buys.  It's no longer important whether I get something physical in return.


For instance, if I could buy a subscription to a service that would transport me instantly from place to place, I would no longer have any use or inclination to have my own car.  There are plenty of examples like that in my life, and I'm sure yours too, where things we thought were important because they were physical have become not as important because digital or service alternatives exist.  It's why I read (well, for years now) online news channels like cnn.com and wired.com instead of picking up a newspaper or magazine.


So, I've tweaked a bit the spreadsheet I shared in a previous entry about the Cloud Economy.  I changed the Virtual Economy (the last column) to the Experience Economy.  That's a bit more descriptive and on the mark.  The service economy is not included because, again, I believe they are all about service.


A brief summary:



The agrarian economy marked the rise of civilization, where raising crops and domesticating animals enabled food surpluses, which resulted in stratified and higher density populations.  Mercantile and feudal economies followed.

The industrial economy was an evolution of this, where technology advances were made rapidly, allowing goods and services to be delivered on a much wider scale.  This was when marketing and PR used practices akin to "yelling at strangers" (Seth Godin).  The audience volume had to be large because only a very small percentage of those reached would buy what you had to sell.  Heads of industry chose and drove technology improvements and upgrades.


The digital economy marked the beginning stages and the adoption of what we now know as the Web.  In this economy, Web 1.0 marked the rise of permission-based communication and search engines.  Although there were almost innumerable bits and bytes traveling around, we simply didn't know or understand the value of it all.  It was a very chaotic time and business larges chose and drove technology improvements and upgrades, trickling those down to the lower layers of consumers.  Content was king.


The knowledge economy (Web 2.0) is driven by people who now have tools for collaboration and connection to each other.  Folksonomies and trusted content rule and businesses now find themselves required to have 2 way or multiple level conversations with their constituents. Conversation and your social network is king, with consumers largely driving technology innovation and adoption.


The cloud economy (Web 3.0) is about the democratization of raw computing resources, allowing anyone to be a developer and deliver a service with virtually no IT infrastructure.  Problems that were in the realm of IT will be resolved by knowledge workers.  Cloud computing will be the infrastructure for the vast and complex "social brain" which will dictate the direction and relevance of the conversation.  This provides the building blocks for the next economy.


The experience economy (Web 4.0) is enabled by the cloud infrastructure and technology improvements (such as TB/s bandwidth speed) that will enable truly real-time interaction between a person's physical and virtual social networks.  Devices will become smaller and the large portion of computing will be done in "the cloud".  The "experience" will be immersive and real-time.



It's critical for the leaders who take us into these new territories to understand these different economies and have a passionate vision for their place in the future phases.  Great leaders I've had the opportunity to work with in the past always know where they've been, where they're going, and can sprinkle inspiration and motivation on those around them like it's fairy dust.


Enjoy. -Y


The Cloud Economy Part 3

Wednesday Feb 04, 2009

So, Lew and Jonathan announced that at SugarCon 2009 this week.  Finally.  The news is out.


Since you read the blog of a cloud computing product manager at Sun, you shouldn't be surprised.  What you should be surprised about is the positioning that this is something new.  If you count HPC (high performance computing), Sun has been building clouds for years.  And, there's no better place to be at this point in the evolution of cloud computing.  From chipsets to hardware to applications, Sun has all the building blocks for a complete cloud offering.


We're in the middle of building the cloud economy, where any business can begin without the need for IT infrastructure.  In fact, venture capital firms now refuse to pay for IT infrastructure, instead pointing their startups to cloud and the notion of zero-infrastructure.  This greatly reduces the barrier to entry for many businesses and also provides an opportunity for existing enterprises to investigate the notion of private and hybrid clouds.


You'll hear more details at CommunityOne East.  New York will be a good place to be in March, don't you think? ;) 


Wednesday Nov 12, 2008

Want to know which Venture Capital firms are putting money into the cloud?  Cloud application service provider startups abound, and money for them will only be flowing until 2010.  At least, that's what James Staten of Forrester says.  After that, James doesn't think that any VC firm would give you a second glance if the word "cloud" is in your business proposal or in your name.


Why?  Because we're in the "trough of disillusionment", according to the cloud Hype Cycle.  The cloud bubble will be bursting around 2010.  Losers in this space will disappear as we reach the "slope of enlightenment", and then those who are doing interesting things will continue on and experience real productivity and profitability.


Enough about that.  You need to know where to get money for your startup.  Here's my list of VCs, angel investors, and companies in this space who have provided funding recently.


For those of you who want to jumpstart your startup, check out Sun's Startup Essentials.

This blog copyright 2009 by Ynema Mangum