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20070222 Thursday February 22, 2007
Academy Award Predictions Entertainment

Here are my predictions for who will win (not who should win) the Oscar.  Predictions are in bold type.

 Update: Winners are in green, my incorrect predictions are in red.

  • Best Picture:
    • "Babel"
    • "The Departed"
    • "Letters From Iwo Jima"
    • "Little Miss Sunshine"
    • "The Queen"
  • Actor:
    • Leonardo DiCaprio, "Blood Diamond"
    • Ryan Gosling, "Half Nelson"
    • Peter O'Toole, "Venus"
    • Will Smith, "The Pursuit of Happyness"
    • Forest Whitaker, "The Last King of Scotland"
  • Actress:
    • Penelope Cruz, "Volver"
    • Judi Dench, "Notes on a Scandal"
    • Helen Mirren, "The Queen"
    • Meryl Streep, "The Devil Wears Prada"
    • Kate Winslet, "Little Children"
  • Supporting Actor:
    • Alan Arkin, "Little Miss Sunshine"
    • Jackie Earle Haley, "Little Children"
    • Djimon Hounsou, "Blood Diamond"
    • Eddie Murphy, "Dreamgirls"
    • Mark Wahlberg, "The Departed"
  • Supporting Actress:
    • Adriana Barraza, "Babel"
    • Cate Blanchett, "Notes on a Scandal"
    • Abigail Breslin, "Little Miss Sunshine"
    • Jennifer Hudson, "Dreamgirls"
    • Rinko Kikuchi, "Babel"
  • Directing:
    • Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, "Babel"
    • Martin Scorsese, "The Departed"
    • Clint Eastwood, "Letters From Iwo Jima"
    • Stephen Frears, "The Queen"
    • Paul Greengrass, "United 93"
  • Foreign Language Film:
    • "After the Wedding" Denmark
    • "Days of Glory (Indigenes)" Algeria
    • "The Lives of Others" Germany
    • "Pan's Labyrinth" Mexico
    • "Water" Canada
  • Adapted Screenplay:
    • Sacha Baron Cohen and Anthony Hines and Peter Baynham and Dan Mazer and Todd Phillips, "Borat Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan"
    • Alfonso Cuaron and Timothy J. Sexton and David Arata and Mark Fergus and Hawk Ostby, "Children of Men"
    • William Monahan, "The Departed"
    • Todd Field and Tom Perrotta, "Little Children"
    • Patrick Marber, "Notes on a Scandal"
  • Original Screenplay:
    • Guillermo Arriaga, "Babel"
    • Iris Yamashita and Paul Haggis, "Letters From Iwo Jima"
    • Michael Arndt, "Little Miss Sunshine"
    • Guillermo del Toro, "Pan's Labyrinth"
    • Peter Morgan, "The Queen"
  • Animated Feature Film:
    • "Cars"
    • "Happy Feet"
    • "Monster House"
  • Art Direction:
    • "Dreamgirls"
    • "The Good Shepherd"
    • "Pan's Labyrinth"
    • "Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest"
    • "The Prestige"
  • Cinematography:
    • "The Black Dahlia"
    • "Children of Men"
    • "The Illusionist"
    • "Pan's Labyrinth"
    • "The Prestige"
  • Sound Mixing:
    • "Apocalypto"
    • "Blood Diamond"
    • "Dreamgirls"
    • "Flags of Our Fathers"
    • "Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest"
  • Sound Editing:
    • "Apocalypto"
    • "Blood Diamond"
    • "Flags of Our Fathers"
    • "Letters From Iwo Jima"
    • "Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest"
  • Original Score:
    • "Babel" Gustavo Santaolalla
    • "The Good German" Thomas Newman
    • "Notes on a Scandal" Philip Glass
    • "Pan's Labyrinth" Javier Navarrete
    • "The Queen" Alexandre Desplat
  • Original Song:
    • "I Need to Wake Up" from "An Inconvenient Truth" Melissa Etheridge
    • "Listen" from "Dreamgirls" Henry Krieger, Scott Cutler and Anne Preven
    • "Love You I Do" from "Dreamgirls" Henry Krieger and Siedah Garrett
    • "Our Town" from "Cars" Randy Newman
    • "Patience" from "Dreamgirls" Henry Krieger and Willie Reale
  • Costume:
    • "Curse of the Golden Flower"
    • "The Devil Wears Prada"
    • "Dreamgirls"
    • "Marie Antoinette"
    • "The Queen"
  • Documentary Feature:
    • "Deliver Us From Evil"
    • "An Inconvenient Truth"
    • "Iraq in Fragments"
    • "Jesus Camp"
    • "My Country, My Country"
  • Documentary (short subject):
    • "The Blood of Yingzhou District"
    • "Recycled Life"
    • "Rehearsing a Dream"
    • "Two Hands"
  • Film Editing:
    • "Babel"
    • "Blood Diamond"
    • "Children of Men"
    • "The Departed"
    • "United 93"
  • Makeup:
    • "Apocalypto"
    • "Click"
    • "Pan's Labyrinth"
  • Animated Short Film:
    • "The Danish Poet"
    • "Lifted"
    • "The Little Matchgirl"
    • "Maestro"
    • "No Time for Nuts"
  • Live Action Short Film:
    • "Binta and the Great Idea (Binta Y La Gran Idea)"
    • "Eramos Pocos (One Too Many)"
    • "Helmer & Son"
    • "The Saviour"
    • "West Bank Story"
  • Visual Effects:
    • "Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest"
    • "Poseidon"
    • "Superman Returns"

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February 22, 2007 12:29 PM PST Permalink | Comments [2] | del.icio.us technorati slashdot digg reddit facebook stumbleupon

Comments:

Nice...I'm mostly in agreement with you. I wonder how different your "should win" list is.

Posted by Jason on February 22, 2007 at 06:01 PM PST #

Why Babel? I'm intrigued. Most people have Babel, The Departed, and Little Miss Sunshine in a dead heat, and I'm going with The Departed. I'm also predicting Cate Blanchett for Best Supporting Actress. All my reasons are here: http://www.trailerspy.com/2007/02/22/trailerspys-oscar-predictions/

Posted by 208.120.11.208 on February 22, 2007 at 06:18 PM PST #

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