Wednesday Dec 31, 2008
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Wednesday Dec 31, 2008
I made my NFL playoff predictions a few days ago but just found this story on Vegas' odds so thought it would be interesting to compare the odds of winning the superbowl.
Here is a table listing the Vegas odds, what that translates into as a percentage, and my percentage for comparison. Since the article above doesn't list all teams I went here to get a full list.
| Team | Vegas Odds | Vegas % | My % |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Giants |
3-1 |
25.0 |
19.3 |
| Pittsburgh |
5-1 |
16.7 |
19.4 |
| Carolina |
6-1 |
14.3 |
13.6 |
| Tennessee | 7-1 |
12.5 |
19.7 |
| Indianapolis |
8-1 |
11.1 |
4.4 |
| Philadelphia |
11-1 |
8.3 |
3.8 |
| San Diego |
11-1 |
8.3 |
3.5 |
| Baltimore |
14-1 |
6.7 |
4.8 |
| Atlanta |
20-1 |
4.8 |
3.1 |
| Miami |
25-1 |
3.8 |
3.0 |
| Minnesota |
28-1 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
| Arizona |
40-1 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
As of this writing, it is interesting to see that the Giants went from 2-1 in the ESPN story to 3-1 where the 3-1 is a lot closer to what my computer had them at. Perhaps I'm not so far off :) It is also interesting to see that as expected (Vegas has to take their cut) the Vegas percentage is higher than mine except for Tennessee and Pittsburgh. And Minnesota is the same. According to my computer those would be good bets to place on average.
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