With just one computer publishing its ratings (Sagarin) and my estimating another (Marsee), OU has already moved ahead of Texas in the BCS ratings. As the rest of the computers report, the gap should only grow meaning the voters will have to have a pretty big "change of mind" and swap Texas ahead of OU to keep Texas #2.

So it looks like it will be OU against Missouri in the Big-12 championship and Florida against Alabama in the SEC. If OU wins, they are in the championship game and likewise if Alabama wins they are in. Florida winning should also get them there even though they'll likely be behind Texas in this weeks rankings as beating Alabama should vault them ahead. I suppose there is an outside shot at an OU vs Texas rematch but it is highly unlikely. If Missouri somehow won, it possibly opens the door for USC since they would be a conference champ and Texas wouldn't be, but more likely Texas would get the nod.

So, the national championship game is likely one of:

• OU vs Florida
• OU vs Alabama
• OU vs Texas (unlikely)
• Texas vs Florida
• Texas vs Alabama
• USC vs Florida (very very unlikely)
• USC vs Alabama (very very unlikely)